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by NN Taleb · 2017 · Cited by 20 — Election Predictions as Martingales: An Arbitrage. Approach. Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Tandon School of Engineering, New York University 3rd Version, October​ .... by A Khan — Context. Social media platforms such as Facebook and Twitter carry a big load of people's opinions about politics and leaders, which makes them a good source .... Feb 14, 2020 — On the night of November 8, 2016, Charles Franklin, like millions of other Americans, watched the presidential election results roll in with what .... by M Galesic · 2018 · Cited by 18 — of their social contacts improved predictions of voting in the 2016 U.S. and 2017 French presidential elections. Responses to social-circle questions predicted .... by PT Metaxas · 2011 · Cited by 323 — Using social media for political discourse is increasingly becoming common practice, especially around election time. Arguably, one of the most interesting aspe.. by M Coletto · Cited by 18 — We analyze a data set of tweets related to the 2013 primary elections of the major Italian political party. The data set is partitioned on the basis of the twenty Italian ... f1579aacf4
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Nov 3, 2020 — Move over pollsters. A couple of tigers, a bear, a squirrel, some cats, and a plate of cookies predict who will win the 2020 presidential election.. The mission of the project is to provide timely and accurate election statistics, electoral laws, research reports, and other useful information regarding the United .... Oct 26, 2020 — Two new questions added to the USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll this year, reported separately from the main results, predict that the national .... Nov 3, 2020 — President Donald Trump and his Democratic challenger, Joe Biden, are competing for the White House. Arizona, Iowa, Georgia, Florida, Michigan .... by K Searles · 2018 · Cited by 14 — Public predictions about the results of forthcoming elections have important consequences for political campaigns and support for governmental institutions.. The learning game for the United States election cycle. Predict the electoral college, political candidates, and challenge your friends in the ultimate civics .... Jan 1, 2020 — Don't put too much stock in all those New Year's predictions you're hearing about American politics in 2020. The one thing we can safely say is .... Oct 27, 2020 — Experts predict a slight bias toward Trump, but one that is half as severe as that of 2016 presidential election. Popular votes could put odds in .... Nov 3, 2020 — Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson speaks in front of a mural by artist Ndubisi Okoye, September 24, 2020, in Detroit. Biden definitely .... by U Beltrán · 1999 · Cited by 16 — ABSTRACT. Forecast errors in preelectoral polls are common. Since the Nicaraguan Election in. 1990, a common assumption is that where democratic practices ...